Date: 3 months ago   Category: Economy

On an oil wave. What will be with ruble exchange rate in the fall - RIA Novosti, 9/3/2018


Oil derricks on the Caspian Sea
MOSCOW, 3 Sep — RIA Novosti, Maxim Rubchenko. Last week the Brent oil price has approached 80 dollars for barrel again. The main reason — rumors that Iran reduces export of hydrocarbons, without waiting for a November wave of the American sanctions. Experts are sure: in the next months growth of quotations will continue. Why black gold and as it will affect the Russian currency — in material of RIA Novosti rises in price. © AFP 2018/Atta Kenare the Bomb for OPEC. Why the USA stocks up a neftyyuna the oil market speculation for the rise was resumed: for the second half of August the price of barrel of a grade of Brent has grown by ten percent, having exceeded 78 dollars. It is explained first of all with the fact that Tehran, presumably, has slightly reduced the export. The The Wall Street Journal newspaper with reference to statistics on tanker transportations has reported that supply of oil from Iran decreases though the next round of the American sanctions against the Iranian energy sector comes into force only in November. By edition estimates, at the beginning of August Tehran delivered to foreign buyers 2,1 million barrels a day — honor one quarter below than a maximum of this year recorded in April. The experts interviewed by The Wall Street Journal have foretold that in September export of oil from Iran will decrease to one and a half million barrels a day — on a third in comparison with June indicators. Earlier it was expected that the Iranian export will be reduced by one million barrels only by the end of the year. However, by the end of month other estimates have appeared: according to the report of OPEC, deliveries from the region have decreased by only 90 thousand barrels a day in comparison with June. China and India of whom 75% of the Iranian oil export are the share have even increased purchases. It is remarkable that this information hasn't led to essential decrease in quotations — the Brent barrel keeps higher than 77 dollars steady. Analysts are sure that in September oil will continue to rise in price. The situation in the North Sea where strikes on a number of oil and gas platforms will take place will become an incentive. Because of it supply of the North Sea oil to the market can be reduced in total by 100 thousand barrels a day. Besides, aggravation of a situation in Libya will affect. As reports the New Arab portal, the former head of protection of the Libyan oil objects Ibrahim Iordan conducts negotiations with insurgents from Chad and supporters of the overthrown president Gaddafi on creation of alliance for occupation of oil ports of the country. If these plans are implemented, supply of black gold from Libya will be paralyzed and the new jump in prices of oil will follow. Quotations by the end of the year will how strongly rise, depends on Iran. More precisely, from that, how exactly Tehran will react to a November round of the American sanctions.© RIA Novosti / Evgeny Biyatov to Pass into an image bank Million "barrels" for Trump. Why America asks to repeal the agreement of OPEC the Most radical scenario — the Iranian armed forces block the Strait of Hormuz through which the Middle Eastern countries export about 20 million barrels of oil, that is the fifth part of world oil production. About readiness to that

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